Findings from the June Omnibus

In the last Omnibus, we finally saw Trump’s net approval rating dip negatively. That trend has held steady during this month’s survey. Even more optimistically, for the first time this year, we saw Democrats significantly pull ahead of Republicans for the Congressional generic ballot. A hopeful shift in sentiment! Let’s dive into the rest of the results!

The latest Clarity Omnibus features crucial insights on shifts in Trump’s job approval, support for Republican policy priorities, and trends in media consumption. The results are weighted to a registered voter universe, but we will soon begin weighting to a universe of 2026 likely voters using our new Clarity 2026 Turnout Score.

The Omnibus survey fields monthly, tracking opinions in a volatile policy and information environment, measuring things like support for the Trump administration’s latest actions and media consumption habits. Additional space on the survey is reserved for clients to ask their own questions. Get in touch here if you’re interested.

Let’s start with some highlights:

Democrats Gain Ground on the Congressional Generic Ballot

This month showed significant Democratic gains in the congressional generic ballot, with a Democratic candidate (50%) leading a Republican candidate (45%) by 5 points. This represents a substantial improvement for Democrats on the generic ballot compared to the past three Omnibus surveys.

Trump Job Approval Remains Negative

Since our last survey in April, President Trump’s approval rating has held steady, with 47% of voters approving of his job as President, while 50% of voters disapprove. Our previous survey also showed a convergence between President Trump’s favorability and approval ratings, which stayed consistent this month.

Breaking out President Trump’s job approval by issue, voters continue to disapprove of his handling of inflation, and have become more disapproving of his handling of healthcare. Trump’s negative net approval ratings for his handling of ‘Inflation and Prices’ (-24%) decreased slightly from the previous Omnibus survey, with nearly 30% of Republicans and 71% of independents disapproving of his handling of the issue. Net approval for Trump’s handling of ‘Healthcare’ (-12%) has fallen by 7 points in the same time frame, possibly as a response to proposed Medicaid cuts in the Republican spending bill. The issue areas where Trump holds positive net approval are ‘Immigration’ (+3%) and ‘National Security’ (+11%) (note: the majority of responses to this survey were fielded prior to the beginning of the conflict between Israel and Iran).

Voters Don’t Think Trump Cares About Them

In this month’s survey, we asked voters if they thought the Trump administration cared about people like them. A majority of voters (53%) disagreed that the Trump administration cares about people like them, and more voters strongly disagreed (43%) than strongly or somewhat agreed (42%).

Breaking out this question on self-reported income, we see that voters in lower income brackets are less likely to agree that the Trump administration cares about people like them. For example, only 37% of voters making less than $30,000 per year agree that the Trump administration cares about people like them, versus 67% of people making more than $125,000 per year.

Trump Agenda Remains Unpopular

The latest Omnibus also explored a series of policy initiatives that have been proposed or enacted by President Trump. Voters net oppose all but one of the ten policies.

In this battery, the Palantir Database (-35%) and Science Funding Cuts (-34%) policies were deeply unpopular, representing the second and third least popular policies tested in a Clarity Omnibus survey since the start of Trump’s second term (Veterans Affairs cuts are the most unpopular). Vaccine Rollbacks (-20%) and OBBB Tax Cuts (-15%) also face substantial opposition from voters.

Three of these policies have been polled in each Clarity Omnibus Survey since the start of Trump’s term, and one has been tested since March. Support for ‘Mass Deportations’ has lost significant support since February, though remains slightly net positive. ‘Blocking Appropriations’ and ‘Musk/DOGE Access’ have held steady in unpopular territory over time. ‘Tariffs on CA/MX’ saw a decline in support from February to April, but support experienced a slight bounce in June, possibly due to decreased news coverage or repeated tariff pauses from the administration.

Voters appear to be convinced: Trump Always Chickens Out . We asked voters how long they thought Trump’s tariffs would be in place, and 46% of voters believed that the tariffs would either only be in place for a short time (39%) or not at all (7%), versus only 35% who expected them to be in place for the foreseeable future.